Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.319038 0.343123 0.368841 0.398467 0.431800 0.468319 0.511592
2025-02-09 0.269702 0.304693 0.344996 0.395453 0.457806 0.533550 0.634492
2025-02-16 0.233697 0.273344 0.321573 0.385877 0.471515 0.585045 0.753384
2025-02-23 0.211328 0.254018 0.308270 0.384487 0.492783 0.648258 0.904038
2025-03-02 0.192433 0.236138 0.293577 0.377682 0.503707 0.697432 1.047820
2025-03-09 0.177238 0.221147 0.280458 0.370358 0.511365 0.741782 1.197614
2025-03-16 0.165035 0.208846 0.269427 0.364059 0.518687 0.786082 1.363521
2025-03-23 0.158711 0.203955 0.268146 0.371864 0.549509 0.878204 1.671440
2025-03-30 0.149898 0.194735 0.259528 0.366823 0.557148 0.928169 1.908909
2025-04-06 0.139580 0.182599 0.245507 0.351361 0.543554 0.931782 2.026965
2025-04-13 0.130382 0.171547 0.232335 0.335998 0.527952 0.927749 2.123015
2025-04-20 0.126361 0.167899 0.230280 0.339169 0.547942 1.007638 2.543225
2025-04-27 0.124635 0.167809 0.234144 0.353708 0.594501 1.169857 3.465352
2025-05-04 0.120127 0.163259 0.230622 0.354901 0.614521 1.275548 4.346637
2025-05-11 0.114463 0.156598 0.223172 0.348081 0.616136 1.332393 5.105724
2025-05-18 0.110397 0.152210 0.219185 0.347378 0.631577 1.438069 6.479559
2025-05-25 0.105816 0.146745 0.212981 0.341702 0.634353 1.505755 7.837555
2025-06-01 0.101510 0.141498 0.206804 0.335455 0.634706 1.566620 9.461037
2025-06-08 0.097670 0.136816 0.201309 0.330042 0.636275 1.633994 11.652595
2025-06-15 0.095999 0.135578 0.201744 0.336786 0.670635 1.849475 18.694759
2025-06-22 0.092793 0.131643 0.197122 0.332440 0.674423 1.941103 25.184165
2025-06-29 0.088486 0.125708 0.188600 0.319075 0.651097 1.899730 26.915028
2025-07-06 0.084419 0.120043 0.180338 0.305755 0.626412 1.844998 27.850260